User:WinterRose/Morph Data - Revision history

WinterRose: moved Morph Data to User:WinterRose/Morph Data

2012-12-21T11:49:23Z

moved Morph Data to User:WinterRose/Morph Data

WinterRose at 11:48, 21 December 2012

2012-12-21T11:48:39Z

WinterRose: Created page with "== Set 1 == * Running all records drom May 2011 to December 2012, for a total of 2197 entry points. * Aggregating all levels into groups of 10 via rounding (304 goes to 300, 305..."

2012-12-21T11:42:42Z

Created page with "== Set 1 == * Running all records drom May 2011 to December 2012, for a total of 2197 entry points. * Aggregating all levels into groups of 10 via rounding (304 goes to 300, 305..."

New page

== Set 1 ==

* Running all records drom May 2011 to December 2012, for a total of 2197 entry points.
* Aggregating all levels into groups of 10 via rounding (304 goes to 300, 305 goes to 310 group)

<pre>
+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
| level | successes | total tries | chance |
+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
| 300 | 31 | 191 | 16.2304 |
| 310 | 14 | 82 | 17.0732 |
| 320 | 15 | 56 | 26.7857 |
| 330 | 4 | 23 | 17.3913 |
| 340 | 7 | 37 | 18.9189 |
| 350 | 3 | 39 | 7.6923 |
| 360 | 26 | 75 | 34.6667 |
| 370 | 16 | 62 | 25.8065 |
| 380 | 23 | 69 | 33.3333 |
| 390 | 11 | 46 | 23.9130 |
| 400 | 32 | 70 | 45.7143 |
| 410 | 19 | 67 | 28.3582 |
| 420 | 24 | 74 | 32.4324 |
| 430 | 26 | 66 | 39.3939 |
| 440 | 29 | 65 | 44.6154 |
| 450 | 24 | 61 | 39.3443 |
| 460 | 22 | 50 | 44.0000 |
| 470 | 21 | 59 | 35.5932 |
| 480 | 24 | 46 | 52.1739 |
| 490 | 13 | 25 | 52.0000 |
| 500 | 45 | 97 | 46.3918 |
| 510 | 30 | 63 | 47.6190 |
| 520 | 30 | 56 | 53.5714 |
| 530 | 17 | 32 | 53.1250 |
| 540 | 22 | 40 | 55.0000 |
| 550 | 18 | 35 | 51.4286 |
| 560 | 25 | 38 | 65.7895 |
| 570 | 11 | 20 | 55.0000 |
| 580 | 11 | 17 | 64.7059 |
| 590 | 8 | 16 | 50.0000 |
| 600 | 21 | 39 | 53.8462 |
| 610 | 13 | 19 | 68.4211 |
| 620 | 19 | 24 | 79.1667 |
| 630 | 7 | 15 | 46.6667 |
| 640 | 7 | 13 | 53.8462 |
| 650 | 6 | 7 | 85.7143 |
| 660 | 12 | 15 | 80.0000 |
| 670 | 8 | 17 | 47.0588 |
| 680 | 5 | 5 | 100.0000 |
| 690 | 10 | 11 | 90.9091 |
| 700 | 11 | 18 | 61.1111 |
| 710 | 5 | 6 | 83.3333 |
| 720 | 4 | 5 | 80.0000 |
| 730 | 4 | 6 | 66.6667 |
| 750 | 8 | 10 | 80.0000 |
| 760 | 3 | 5 | 60.0000 |
| 770 | 2 | 4 | 50.0000 |
| 780 | 8 | 9 | 88.8889 |
| 790 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 800 | 10 | 11 | 90.9091 |
| 810 | 3 | 3 | 100.0000 |
| 820 | 7 | 7 | 100.0000 |
| 840 | 2 | 4 | 50.0000 |
| 850 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 860 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 870 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 880 | 1 | 2 | 50.0000 |
| 890 | 1 | 1 | 100.0000 |
| 900 | 4 | 4 | 100.0000 |
| 910 | 3 | 4 | 75.0000 |
| 920 | 3 | 3 | 100.0000 |
| 930 | 2 | 3 | 66.6667 |
| 940 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 950 | 3 | 3 | 100.0000 |
| 960 | 1 | 1 | 100.0000 |
| 970 | 2 | 2 | 100.0000 |
| 980 | 4 | 4 | 100.0000 |
| 990 | 3 | 3 | 100.0000 |
| 1000 | 227 | 227 | 100.0000 |
+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
</pre>

'''Conclusion:''' While 2200 points seems a lot, it's actually not, thus the huge variations.

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:48, 21 December 2012
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	'''Conclusion:''' While 2200 points seems a lot, it's actually not, thus the huge variations.		'''Conclusion:''' While 2200 points seems a lot, it's actually not, thus the huge variations.
		+
		+	== Set 1 (more rounding) ==
		+
		+	* Increasing grain size to blocks of 20 (level=level/20, level=round(level), level=level*20)
		+
		+	<pre>
		+	+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
		+	\| level \| successes \| total tries \| chance \|
		+	+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
		+	\| 300 \| 39 \| 232 \| 16.8103 \|
		+	\| 320 \| 22 \| 109 \| 20.1835 \|
		+	\| 340 \| 12 \| 62 \| 19.3548 \|
		+	\| 360 \| 32 \| 128 \| 25.0000 \|
		+	\| 380 \| 40 \| 123 \| 32.5203 \|
		+	\| 400 \| 48 \| 134 \| 35.8209 \|
		+	\| 420 \| 44 \| 138 \| 31.8841 \|
		+	\| 440 \| 54 \| 125 \| 43.2000 \|
		+	\| 460 \| 47 \| 114 \| 41.2281 \|
		+	\| 480 \| 42 \| 91 \| 46.1538 \|
		+	\| 500 \| 71 \| 141 \| 50.3546 \|
		+	\| 520 \| 47 \| 102 \| 46.0784 \|
		+	\| 540 \| 40 \| 69 \| 57.9710 \|
		+	\| 560 \| 39 \| 68 \| 57.3529 \|
		+	\| 580 \| 19 \| 32 \| 59.3750 \|
		+	\| 600 \| 34 \| 60 \| 56.6667 \|
		+	\| 620 \| 28 \| 37 \| 75.6757 \|
		+	\| 640 \| 14 \| 27 \| 51.8519 \|
		+	\| 660 \| 16 \| 27 \| 59.2593 \|
		+	\| 680 \| 17 \| 19 \| 89.4737 \|
		+	\| 700 \| 17 \| 25 \| 68.0000 \|
		+	\| 720 \| 10 \| 13 \| 76.9231 \|
		+	\| 740 \| 4 \| 5 \| 80.0000 \|
		+	\| 760 \| 9 \| 13 \| 69.2308 \|
		+	\| 780 \| 11 \| 13 \| 84.6154 \|
		+	\| 800 \| 13 \| 14 \| 92.8571 \|
		+	\| 820 \| 7 \| 7 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	\| 840 \| 3 \| 5 \| 60.0000 \|
		+	\| 860 \| 5 \| 5 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	\| 880 \| 1 \| 2 \| 50.0000 \|
		+	\| 900 \| 5 \| 5 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	\| 920 \| 7 \| 8 \| 87.5000 \|
		+	\| 940 \| 5 \| 6 \| 83.3333 \|
		+	\| 960 \| 2 \| 2 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	\| 980 \| 6 \| 6 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	\| 1000 \| 230 \| 230 \| 100.0000 \|
		+	+-------+-----------+-------------+----------+
		+	</pre>
		+
		+	'''Conclusion:''' A dataset of 10k would really be more useful. Oh well.

← Older revision	Revision as of 11:49, 21 December 2012
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